Judging from history, Barack Obama will most certainly win the nomination of his Democratic Party in
2012.  Alas, both Democrats and Republicans alike have always supported their man in the presidency.
 Being voted in for a second term however is not necessarily a given, as seen more recently with the
losing second-term candidacies of George Bush sr. in 1992 and Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Although Barack Obama still leads all comers in the polls his numbers have slipped dramatically,
mostly due to huge government spending.  Obama now has a  Presidential Approval Index rating of -18
and is among one of the lowest supported presidents following an initial year in the office.  Many
believe that the unpopular decisions which Obama is now making are difficult and necessary steps
leading to a more prosperous and peaceful America in the years ahead.

We expect to see Democrats take on Obama and announce their candidacy for the 2012 nomination;
fewer if Obama's popularity rises and more should his popularity fall.  The odds against these
candidates are great as it would be very difficult for either political party not to support their
man in office.  Persons entering the 2012 race on the Democratic side would be looking more to gain
experience and recognition than the nomination of the party.  Democratic veteran hopefuls such as
Hillary Clinton are setting their sights for the 2016 election.

Ultimately the prospect of a second Obama term depends on his accomplishments over the next two and
a half years and the perspective of those accomplishments in the eyes of the American people.  The
economy, healthcare and other issues of the day are among the hundreds of national and international
issues upon which Barack Obama will be judged in 2012.

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